February 03, 2014

Unread Books
— Ace

The cobloggers are talking about this list from The Federalist of the top ten books people claim to have read but really haven't.

I hope I am not breaking any confidences when I say one cob says he read five of the books, half the list.

So is he just very smart, or is he just really good at lying?

Moby Dick is the book I always think I should read but never do. I "read" it in high school, and by "read it," I mean I did not read it. I read a few parts necessary to do a paper on it.

As I recall, the book was largely about a whale. My memory also informs me there was some mention of a ship.

But a teacher who I respected claimed that was the one book he'd bring to a desert island if he had only one choice (excluding the Bible; he meant only literature/fiction), and I've always thought there must be something really good in there.

Posted by: Ace at 10:25 AM | Comments (751)
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Podcast/Open Thread
— DrewM

Ace is taking a sick day and news is kind of slow so in case you missed it, here's Andy's podcast post from last week that went up a little later than normal on Friday.

###

Townhall.com editor and Fox News contributor Guy Benson joins Ace, Gabe, Drew and John to talk about how the 2016 GOP field is shaping up, the Democrats' disaster prep. for 2014 and other fun topics.

Ace also treats you to an impersonation or two.

Questions & comments here: Ask the Blog

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Drew M. (@DrewMTips)
Gabriel Malor (@GabrielMalor)
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Andy (@TheH2 and @AndyM1911)

Open thread in the comments.

Posted by: DrewM at 09:09 AM | Comments (398)
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Senate Outlook And Immigration
— DrewM

When he's not slumming here with astronomy posts CAC does election predictions over at The Federalist.

His latest breakdown of this year's Senate races are now up.

Right now, the Republicans are projected a net gain of seven seats, enough for a 52-48 majority in the Senate if ]Alaska Senate Democrat Mark] Begich manages to hold on.

...

What are some races to watch in the month ahead? Oregon could become interesting, particularly the possible contrast of a pediatric neurosurgeon (Dr. Monica Wehby) running against Senator Jeff Merkley. The stateÂ’s exchange is a complete disaster, and Dr. Wehby, focused almost entirely on the health care law, raised an impressive $500k in the last quarter. Since we have no polling data for this match up, weÂ’re going to leave this race as moderate-Democrat. Lastly, Georgia is still a Republican-favored race worth watching. We havenÂ’t had any non-partisan sponsored polling in a while, but the Democrat, Michelle Nunn, has been fund-raising well and picked up endorsements from several former Republican Senators. The stateÂ’s electorate makes getting to the mid-40s easy, but winning is another matter. Still, the Republican field is wide open, and if it turns bitter, a damaged candidate could give her a further boost.

One of the wildcards in this or any scenario is amnesty.

So why with the chance to take control of the Senate and increase their margin in the House are Republicans flirting with the idea of a divisive intra-party fight that takes focus away from ObamaCare? Sean Trende has a few thoughts (with an assist from our own AmishDude".

5) Republicans are afraid of winning.

In the course of my musings on Twitter, AmishDude suggested that the real motive here is that the GOP leadership is actually concerned about the implications of a landslide. Of all the suggestions put out there, this seems to make the most sense, and synthesizes the above theories reasonably well while addressing most of my pushbacks on them.

The idea is twofold. First, a landslide would present as much of a problem as it does an opportunity for those who might want to revisit the issue in 2015, especially if the GOP establishment (or its donors) believes this is a must-do before the 2016 elections. The base would be even more agitated after a big victory, and appalled at any compromise on this issue if the GOP picks it up in 2015. In addition, absent a majority, Democrats wouldnÂ’t have the same incentive to support a bill that contained further compromises, especially since they already view the bill as a compromise in the first place. TheyÂ’d be better off watching Republicans flail and fail to pass a bill as their own base abandons them; this is roughly what happened in the mid-2000s.

This makes sense of the timing issue. Perhaps the GOP really did plan on letting the issue die last summer, when taking the Senate looked like a 50-50 shot, and breaking even in the House seemed like the order of the day. But then the Obamacare rollout hit, and suddenly Republicans looked like they might enjoy a 2010 redux.

If only the GOP were this clever and devious in dealing with Democrats as they are conservatives.

The problem with all this talk that amnesty is a question of timing, that it will be more acceptable next year than it is now, misses two big things.

First, amnesty is unacceptable as a matter of policy and principle. Timing is irrelevant.

Second, imagine the GOP holds it together long enough to win big by focusing on ObamaCare and punting on immigration. Are they really then going to pivot away from ObamaCare and onto amnesty?

Sadly all we're really debating is when the GOP will do something incredibly stupid and not if they will.

Remember all of this the next time someone from Team GOP says conservatives are helping Democrats. If the GOP would stop doing dumb things, we'd be happy to fight the Democrats but we're not there yet.

Added: Right on cue.


Yes, the danger to distracting from the GOP's ObamaCare message is a handful of people on Twitter, not the GOP's congressional leadership's focus on amnesty.


Posted by: DrewM at 08:03 AM | Comments (344)
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HealthCare.Gov Mistakes Go Unfixed
— DrewM

Glitches bitches.

Roughly 22,000 Americans have filed appeals with the government to try to get mistakes corrected, according to internal government data obtained by The Washington Post. They contend that the computer system for the new federal online marketplace charged them too much for health insurance, steered them into the wrong insurance program or denied them coverage entirely.

For now, the appeals are sitting, untouched, inside a government computer.

..

“It is definitely frustrating and not fair,” said Addie Wilson, 27, who lives in Fairmont, W.Va., and earns $22,000 a year working with at-risk families. She said that she is paying $100 a month more than she should for her insurance and that her deductible is $4,000 too high.

When Wilson logged on to HealthCare.gov in late December, she needed coverage right away. Her old insurance was ending, and she was to have gallbladder surgery in January. But the Web site would not calculate the federal subsidy to which she knew she was entitled. Terrified to go without coverage, Wilson phoned a federal call center and took the advice she was given: Pay the full price now and appeal later.

Of course that 22,000 number is probably too low. There are no doubt people who don't even realize that this screwed up system screwed them up.

So to sum up:

Error filled? Check

Bureaucratic nightmare? Check

Real people being hurt by the hubris of an indifferent political class? Check

Yeah, let's do a big immigration amnesty with these guys. What could go wrong?

Posted by: DrewM at 06:26 AM | Comments (215)
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Top Headline Comments 2-3-14
— Gabriel Malor

Happy Monday.

Let's start with some data on old media versus new media, provocatively titled "Buzzfeed is the Future."

The Greek manufacturing sector grew for the first time in 53 months.

Gov. Jindal talked immigration, marijuana, and the death penalty on CNN's "State of the Union" yesterday. Rep. Ryan was also talking immigration on ABC's "This Week."


AoSHQ Weekly Podcast: [rss.png RSS] [itunes_modern.pngOn iTunes] [Download Latest Episode] [Ask The Blog]

Posted by: Gabriel Malor at 02:54 AM | Comments (259)
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February 02, 2014

Overnight Open Thread (2-2-2013)
— Maetenloch

Pete Seeger - A Good Communist Party Member

Who also happened to write a couple of decent songs and sang. He's best known these days for his folk songs (If I had a hammer, Where have all the flowers gone, etc) but for him totalitarian ideology always came first which is why over his lifetime he managed to support Hitler, Stalin, Ho Chi Minh, and Pol Pot.

In the "John Doe" album, Mr. Seeger accused FDR of being a warmongering fascist working for J.P. Morgan. He sang, "I hate war, and so does Eleanor, and we won't be safe till everybody's dead." Another song, to the tune of "Cripple Creek" and the sound of Mr. Seeger's galloping banjo, said, "Franklin D., Franklin D., You ain't a-gonna send us across the sea," and "Wendell Willkie and Franklin D., both agree on killing me."

The film does not tell us what happened in 1941, when - two months after "John Doe" was released - Hitler broke his pact with Stalin and invaded the Soviet Union. As good communists, Mr. Seeger and his Almanac comrades withdrew the album from circulation, and asked those who had bought copies to return them. A little later, the Almanacs released a new album, with Mr. Seeger singing "Dear Mr. President," in which he acknowledges they didn't always agree in the past, but now says he is going to "turn in his banjo for something that makes more noise," i.e., a machine gun. As he says in the film, we had to put aside causes like unionism and civil rights to unite against Hitler.

For years, Mr. Seeger used to sing a song with a Yiddish group called "Hey Zhankoye," which helped spread the fiction that Stalin's USSR freed the Russian Jews by establishing Jewish collective farms in the Crimea. Singing such a song at the same time as Stalin was planning the obliteration of Soviet Jewry was disgraceful.

Why I Bought a House in Detroit For $500

I sorta have mixed feeling on what Drew Philips did - on one hand it's crazy as a young naïve white dude to buy a shell of house deep in a declining Detroit neighborhood and try to fix it up, but on the other hand I do admire his ambition and tenacity and see the spirit of the early American settlers in what he's accomplished.

One day Will and I rode past a white Queen Anne in Poletown on a quiet corner. Next to it sat two empty lots, plenty of space for a dog and a garden, a shed and a pond. The neighbors were friendly and kept their homes well-maintained, but there were four other abandoned houses on the block. The neighbors said the Queen Anne had been abandoned for a decade, simply left behind by the previous owner like a shredded tire on the highway, anything of value stolen long ago. It had a mangy wraparound porch and a big kitchen, but no chimney - I could build one of those - and the first time I cautiously walked inside, I knew it would be my home.

...I purchased the house in October 2009 at a live county auction for $500 cash. I was 23 years old.
I'm not certain I've accomplished anything other than taking one abandoned home off the street, teaching a few kids how to read, or bearing witness to a something larger than myself. I'm not certain I've become an example to anyone or necessarily changed a whole lot for the better. But I'm still here. I go to bed and I wake up every day in Detroit, in a house I built with my own hands. Sometimes success means just holding on.

As a friend who grew up in Poletown put it, "We want things to flourish, but we want them to have roots."

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more...

Posted by: Maetenloch at 06:47 PM | Comments (605)
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February 03, 2014

February 02, 2014

Barack Obama vs. Bill O'Reilly
— Ace

Obama claims that Benghazi is a false scandal which is only talked about because people on FoxNews keep talking about it.

Full video below. He denies everything. He also denies denying everything. more...

Posted by: Ace at 02:11 PM | Comments (94)
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What's Your Favorite Woody Allen Film? Because Dylan Farrow, Whom Allen Molested When She Was Just Seven Years Old, Really Wants to Know
— Ace

Her story is pretty horrifying.

The press focused on Allen's admitted (because it was proven) sexual relationship with his other sort-of daughter, Soon-Yi. But when that story broke, Dylan Farrow, far younger than Soon-Yi, also claimed to have been molested by Woody Allen.

This was quickly dismissed as just some stories put into her head by Mia Farrow, who was understandably crazed with anger at the thought of her boyfriend/partner having seduced her older adopted daughter.

But here is Dylan Farrow now, making the same accusations as a 28-year-old adult.

The Daily Beast digests part of her open letter (full letter above), as she calls out various celebrities for continuing to appear in Woody Allen's largely dreary exercises in self-plagiarism.

Dylan blames the cult of celebrity for striking abuse victims dumb by continuing to support people like her dad. “The message that Hollywood sends matters for them,” she writes. As propagators of this message, she names the actors who have continued to work with Allen despite the allegations against him. These include the stars of the Oscar nominated Blue Jasmine – Cate Blanchett, Louis CK, Alec Baldwin – but also Emma Stone, the lead in Allen’s next feature, Magic in the Moonlight, and Allen’s current muse, Scarlett Johansson, as well as his old one, Diane Keaton. “What if it had been your child, Cate Blanchett? Louis CK? Alec Baldwin? What if it had been you, Emma Stone? Or you, Scarlett Johansson?” Dylan asks. “You knew me when I was a little girl, Diane Keaton. Have you forgotten me?”

Does Hollywood have a problem?

Spoiler alert: Yes. As Adam Carolla says, if you can dance, you can get away with anything, from punching a girlfriend to killing someone.

Woody Allen can dance (well, so to speak), and so can Roman Polanski, and so who cares about the young girls they molest or rape (respectively)? They are Talents, and Talents have carte blanche to do whatever they wish.

Not So Fast? A Woody Allen friend and biographer refuted the Dylan claims last month, when Ronan and Mia Farrow had reasserted them during the Golden Globes awards (during which Allen was given a Lifetime Achievement award.

He does make some good points in Allen's defense on the Dylan allegations:

A brief but chilling synopsis of the accusation is as follows: On August 4, 1992, almost four months after the revelation about Woody and Soon-Yi’s relationship understandably ignited a firestorm within the Farrow household, Woody was visiting Frog Hollow, the Farrow country home in Bridgewater, Connecticut, where Mia and several of her kids were staying. During an unsupervised moment, Woody allegedly took Dylan into the attic and, shall we say, “touched her inappropriately.” Later in the day, it was alleged that the child was wearing her sundress, but that her underpants were missing. The following day, Mia’s daughter allegedly told her mother what had happened, and Mia put the child’s recounting of the story on videotape as evidence.

...

[I]f MiaÂ’s account is true, it means that in the middle of custody and support negotiations, during which Woody needed to be on his best behavior, in a house belonging to his furious ex-girlfriend, and filled with people seething mad at him, Woody, who is a well-known claustrophobic, decided this would be the ideal time and place to take his daughter into an attic and molest her, quickly, before a house full of children and nannies noticed they were both missing.

I did not realize that this event was alleged to have taken place during the firestorm following the Soon-Yi revelations. I imagined that the allegation was made during that time, but that the allegation regarded prior molestation.

I have to admit, this scenario does seem unlikely to me.

Not So Fast on Not So Fast? While the attic encounter does seem unlikely, it's wrong of me to claim that's the one charge of molestation alleged. Per Dylan's letter, she alleges a pattern of molestation-like/molestation behavior before that, and that it's just the attic event that made her tell her mom about it.

I will link a commenter's recap of this (quoting her letter) because what is alleged is so creepy I don't want to quote it on the site.

I guess I'm now up in the air about this.

Posted by: Ace at 12:10 PM | Comments (372)
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February 09, 2014

Food Thread: (CBD)
— Open Blogger

We Politely Request That All Off-Topic or Political Comments Be Directed to the Thread Directly Below This One, Which Will Serve Officially as the Current "Active Conversation" Thread for All Discussions Not Related To This Topic.

tommyeats sign.jpg

Photo courtesy of tommy:eats


"Sharing food with another human being is an intimate act that should not be indulged in lightly."

-- M.F.K.Fisher

"If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world."

-- J.R.R.Tolkien more...

Posted by: Open Blogger at 12:14 PM | Comments (219)
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